Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.485518 0.567793 0.657494 0.762258 0.880946 1.010921 1.163701
2025-01-19 0.348503 0.457427 0.587800 0.753993 0.958728 1.201122 1.508089
2025-01-26 0.272944 0.395064 0.553052 0.769255 1.053805 1.411549 1.890733
2025-02-02 0.219911 0.347027 0.522992 0.778777 1.134464 1.604095 2.262084
2025-02-09 0.180283 0.307842 0.495519 0.783256 1.202913 1.780630 2.621213
2025-02-16 0.154342 0.282981 0.482805 0.803788 1.291549 1.987240 3.032055
2025-02-23 0.131042 0.257340 0.463957 0.810700 1.357998 2.164290 3.410381
2025-03-02 0.105935 0.223501 0.426392 0.782355 1.365981 2.253779 3.664861
2025-03-09 0.093682 0.210122 0.420334 0.803023 1.450356 2.461001 4.103995
2025-03-16 0.082079 0.195645 0.409961 0.814366 1.519229 2.647226 4.520446
2025-03-23 0.076185 0.191398 0.417228 0.856480 1.641506 2.923817 5.090974
2025-03-30 0.065805 0.175669 0.400560 0.853232 1.685242 3.075576 5.471161
2025-04-06 0.055779 0.158935 0.380042 0.841368 1.714291 3.207505 5.831623
2025-04-13 0.047587 0.144690 0.362477 0.833018 1.748613 3.350130 6.217644
2025-04-20 0.042591 0.137201 0.358030 0.849838 1.830112 3.577715 6.756795
2025-04-27 0.037780 0.129088 0.350957 0.860268 1.899861 3.788171 7.276778
2025-05-04 0.033251 0.120655 0.341841 0.865165 1.958787 3.982038 7.776881
2025-05-11 0.030297 0.116034 0.340976 0.887518 2.053339 4.244729 8.408846
2025-05-18 0.026909 0.109260 0.333827 0.895041 2.118258 4.456048 8.958945
2025-05-25 0.022229 0.097049 0.310981 0.864192 2.101616 4.513906 9.235605
2025-06-01 0.020387 0.093825 0.311080 0.886688 2.197941 4.789883 9.920380
2025-06-08 0.018354 0.089367 0.307151 0.899031 2.273225 5.028884 10.546792
2025-06-15 0.017652 0.089671 0.316548 0.944840 2.424071 5.421661 11.474685